
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
How winnings work
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 72.00 (profit € 62.00)
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 10.29 (profit € 0.29)
How this market settles▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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